Tree-Based Machine Learning to Identify Predictors of Psoriasis Incidence at the Neighborhood Level: A Populational Study from Quebec, Canada.

BACKGROUND: Psoriasis is a major global health burden affecting ~ 60 million people worldwide. Existing studies on psoriasis focused on individual-level health behaviors (e.g. diet, alcohol consumption, smoking, exercise) and characteristics as drivers of psoriasis risk. However, it is increasingly recognized that health behavior arises in the context of larger social, cultural, economic and environmental determinants of health. We aimed to identify the top risk factors that significantly impact the incidence of psoriasis at the neighborhood level using populational data from the province of Quebec (Canada) and advanced tree-based machine learning (ML) techniques. METHODS: Adult psoriasis patients were identified using International Classification of Disease (ICD)-9/10 codes from Quebec (Canada) populational databases for years 1997-2015. Data on environmental and socioeconomic factors 1 year prior to psoriasis onset were obtained from the Canadian Urban Environment Health Consortium (CANUE) and Statistics Canada (StatCan) and were input as predictors into the gradient boosting ML. Model performance was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC). Parsimonious models and partial dependence plots were determined to assess directionality of the relationship. RESULTS: The incidence of psoriasis varied geographically from 1.6 to 325.6/100,000 person-years in Quebec. The parsimonious model (top 9 predictors) had an AUC of 0.77 to predict high psoriasis incidence. Amongst top predictors, ultraviolet (UV) radiation, maximum daily temperature, proportion of females, soil moisture, urbanization, and distance to expressways had a negative association with psoriasis incidence. Nighttime light brightness had a positive association, whereas social and material deprivation indices suggested a higher psoriasis incidence in the middle socioeconomic class neighborhoods. CONCLUSION: This is the first study to highlight highly variable psoriasis incidence rates on a jurisdictional level and suggests that living environment, notably climate, vegetation, urbanization and neighborhood socioeconomic characteristics may have an association with psoriasis incidence.

The Disease Burden of Hereditary Angioedema: Insights from a Survey in French-Canadians from Quebec.

Background: Limited data are available on the clinical profile and disease burden of hereditary angioedema (HAE) in Canadians. Objective: This study aimed to assess HAE disease characteristics and the burden of disease in Canadians with HAE types I, II, and normal levels of C1 inhibitor (nC1-INH). Materials and Methods: A 46-item patient survey evaluating clinical characteristics and burden of disease was developed and disseminated by the HAE patient organization Angio-oédeme héréditaire du Québec in Quebec, Canada, from May 2019 to February 2020. The survey received Research Review Board ethics approval. Results: In the 35 respondents, HAE type I was the most common (46%), followed by nC1-INH (43%). Female participants were significantly younger at first symptom presentation than males (p=0.04). Prior to diagnosis, 69% of participants underwent unnecessary treatments and procedures, with a 10-year delay between first symptoms and diagnosis. Before starting the current treatment, 42% of participants experienced weekly HAE attacks. Most participants identified experiencing attacks in the abdomen (89%), followed by the larynx (66%), feet (66%), hands (63%), and face (63%). Most attacks were severe or moderate, yet almost half of patients waited >1 hr before getting medical attention at their last emergency department (ED) visit. HAE was associated with decreased health-related quality of life, leading to significant functional impairment in personal and professional life. As compared to HAE type I/II, patients with HAE nC1-INH were treated more often with tranexamic acid for long-term prophylaxis, and their condition was less controlled, resulting in more attacks and ED visits. Conclusion: HAE manifests in this patient population as frequent moderate-to-severe attacks and a high disease burden; the HAE subtype may differentially affect care requirements. There is an urgent need for increased awareness and education on HAE among treating physicians.

Underlying Causes of Ethnocultural Inequality in Pregnancy Outcomes: Role of Hospital Proximity.

We evaluated the contribution of place of birth to ethnocultural inequality in pregnancy outcomes. We analyzed a cohort of 1,487,723 births between 1998 and 2019 among minority Anglophones and majority Francophones in Quebec, Canada. We estimated the association (adjusted risk ratio, RR; 95% confidence interval, CI) of language with preterm birth and stillbirth, and incorporated interaction terms to determine the contribution of place of birth and distance traveled. Compared with Francophones, minority Anglophones had a greater risk of preterm birth (RR 1.03; 95% CI 1.01-1.06) and were less likely to deliver farther from home (RR 0.95; 95% CI 0.94-0.95). Anglophones who delivered close to home had a higher risk of preterm birth (RR 1.07; 95% CI 1.04-1.11), whereas Anglophones who delivered farther had a lower risk (RR 0.69; 95% CI 0.64-0.75). Patterns were similar for stillbirth. Ethnocultural inequality in adverse birth outcomes may be influenced by place of birth.

Impact of Language Barriers on Outcomes and Experience of COVID-19 Patients Hospitalized in Quebec, Canada, During the First Wave of the Pandemic.

Language barriers (LB) contribute to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) health inequities. People with LB were more likely to be SARS-CoV-2 positive despite lower testing and had higher rates of hospitalization. Data on hospital outcomes among immigrants with LB, however, are limited. We aimed to investigate the clinical outcomes of hospitalized COVID-19 cases by LB, immigration status, ethnicity, and access to COVID-19 health information and services prior to admission. Adults with laboratory-confirmed community-acquired COVID-19 hospitalized from March 1 to June 30, 2020, at four tertiary-care hospitals in Montréal, Quebec, Canada were included. Demographics, comorbidities, immigration status, country of birth, ethnicity, presence of LB, and hospital outcomes (ICU admission and death) were obtained through a chart review. Additional socio-economic and access to care questions were obtained through a phone survey. A Fine-Gray competing risk subdistribution hazards model was used to estimate the risk of ICU admission and in-hospital death by immigrant status, region of birth and LB Among 1093 patients, 622 (56.9%) were immigrants and 101 (16.2%) of them had a LB. One third (36%) of immigrants with LB did not have access to an interpreter during hospitalization. Admission to ICU and in-hospital mortality were not significantly different between groups. Prior to admission, one third (14/41) of immigrants with LB had difficulties accessing COVID-19 information in their mother tongue and one third (9/27) of non-white immigrants with a LB had difficulties accessing COVID-19 services. Immigrants with LB were inequitably affected by the first wave of the pandemic in Quebec, Canada. In our study, a large proportion had difficulties accessing information and services related to COVID-19 prior to admission, which may have increased SARS-CoV-2 exposure and hospitalizations. After hospitalization, a large proportion did not have access to interpreters. Providing medical information and care in the language of preference of increasing diverse populations in Canada is important for promoting health equity.

Economic impact of work disability due to chronic low back pain from the patient perspective.

OBJECTIVES: Low back pain (LBP) is one of the main expenditure items for health systems. Data on the economic impact of LBP are uncommon from the patient perspective. The aim of this study was to estimate the economic impact of work disability related to chronic LBP from the patient perspective. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis from patients aged over 17 years suffering from non-specific LBP for at least 3 months. Systematic medical, social and economic assessments were collected: pain duration and intensity; functional disability with the Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale (0-100); quality of life with the Dallas Pain Questionnaire; job category; employment status; duration of work disability due to LBP, and income. Factors associated with loss of income were identified by multivariable logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: We included 244 workers (mean age 43 ± 9 years; 36% women); 199 patients had work disability, including 196 who were on sick leave, 106 due to job injury. Three were unemployed due to layoff for incapacity. The mean loss of income for patients with work disability was 14% [SD 24, range -100 to 70] and was significantly less for patients on sick leave due to job injury than on sick leave not related to job injury (p < 0.0001). On multivariable analysis, the probability of loss of income with LBP was about 50% less for overseers and senior managers than workers or employees (odds ratio 0.48 [95% confidence interval 0.23-0.99]). CONCLUSION: Work disability due to LBP resulted in loss of income in our study. The loss of income depended on the type of social protection and job category. It was reduced for patients on sick leave related to work injury and for overseers and senior managers.

Inequalities in survival and care across social determinants of health in a cohort of advanced lung cancer patients in Quebec (Canada): A high-resolution population-level analysis.

BACKGROUND: Advanced lung cancer patients exposed to breakthrough therapies like EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKI) may experience social inequalities in survival, partly from differences in care. This study examined survival by neighborhood-level socioeconomic and sociodemographic status, and geographical location of advanced lung cancer patients who received gefitinib, an EGFR-TKI, as first-line palliative treatment. Differences in the use and delay of EGFR-TKI treatment were also examined. METHODS: Lung cancer patients receiving gefitinib from 2001 to 2019 were identified from Quebec's health administrative databases. Accounting for age and sex, estimates were obtained for the median survival time from treatment to death, the probability of receiving osimertinib as a second EGFR-TKI, and the median time from biopsy to receiving first-line gefitinib. RESULTS: Among 457 patients who received first-line treatment with gefitinib, those living in the most materially deprived areas had the shortest median survival time (ratio, high vs. low deprivation: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.47-1.04). The probability of receiving osimertinib as a second EGFR-TKI was highest for patients from immigrant-dense areas (ratio, high vs. lowdensity: 1.95; 95% CI: 1.26-3.36) or from Montreal (ratio, other urban areas vs. Montreal: 0.39; 95% CI: 0.16-0.71). The median wait time for gefitinib was 1.27 times longer in regions with health centers peripheral to large centers in Quebec or Montreal in comparison to regions with university-affiliated centers (95% CI: 1.09-1.54; n = 353). CONCLUSION: This study shows that real-world variations in survival and treatment exist among advanced lung cancer patients in the era of breakthrough therapies and that future research on inequalities should also focus on this population.

"It felt like building a plane while in flight": the consideration of social inequalities in the design and planning of a contact-tracing intervention for COVID-19 in Montreal, Quebec.

OBJECTIVE: In Canada and globally, the COVID-19 pandemic has increased social inequalities in health (SIH), furthering the vulnerability of certain groups and communities. Contact-tracing is a cornerstone intervention with COVID-19 prevention and control programs. The aim of this study was to describe whether and how SIH were considered during the design of the COVID-19 contact-tracing intervention in Montreal. METHODS: This study is part of the multi-country research program HoSPiCOVID, looking at the resilience of public health systems during the COVID-19 pandemic. A descriptive qualitative study was carried out in Montreal, based on a "bricolage" conceptual framework describing the consideration for SIH in intervention and policy design. Qualitative data were collected using semi-structured interviews with 16 public health practitioners, recruited using both purposive and snowball sampling. Data were analyzed thematically, both inductively and deductively. RESULTS: According to participants, SIH were not initially considered during the design of the contract-tracing intervention in Montreal. The participants were frustrated by the Minister of Health's initial resistance to integrating SIH into their public health response. However, adaptations were gradually made to better meet the needs of underserved populations. CONCLUSION: There is a need for a clear and common vision of SIH within the public health system. Decision-makers need to consider SIH prior to designing public health interventions in order for these not to further increase SIH in the future, especially in the face of a health crisis.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: Au Canada et dans le monde, la pandémie de COVID-19 a augmenté les inégalités sociales de santé (ISS), aggravant la vulnérabilité de certains groupes et communautés. Le suivi des contacts est une intervention fondamentale des programmes de prévention et de contrôle de la COVID-19. L'objectif de cette étude était de décrire si et comment les ISS ont été prises en compte lors de la conception de l'intervention de suivi des contacts pour la COVID-19 à Montréal. MéTHODES: Cette étude fait partie du programme de recherche multi-pays HoSPiCOVID, portant sur la résilience des systèmes de santé publique pendant la pandémie de COVID-19. Une étude qualitative descriptive a été menée à Montréal, sur la base d'un cadre conceptuel « bricolage ¼ décrivant la prise en compte des ISS dans la conception des interventions et des politiques. Des données qualitatives ont été recueillies au moyen d'entrevues semi-structurés avec 16 praticiens de la santé publique, recrutés par échantillonnage raisonné et en boule de neige. Les données ont été analysées de manière thématique, de façon inductive et déductive. RéSULTATS: Selon les participants, les ISS n'ont pas été initialement prises en compte lors de la conception de l'intervention de suivi des contacts à Montréal. Les professionnels de santé publique ont déploré le manque de volonté du Ministère de la Santé d'intégrer les ISS dans la réponse de santé publique. Toutefois, des adaptations ont été progressivement apportées pour mieux répondre aux besoins des populations vulnérables. CONCLUSION: Il est nécessaire d'avoir une vision claire et commune des ISS au sein du système de santé. Les décideurs doivent prendre en compte activement les ISS pour que celles-ci soient mieux conceptualisées, et que les interventions de santé publique n'aggravent pas les ISS, surtout en période de crise sanitaire.

Team-based primary care reforms and older adults: a descriptive assessment of sociodemographic trends and prescribing endpoints in two Canadian provinces.

BACKGROUND: Team-based primary care reforms aim to improve care coordination by involving multiple interdisciplinary health professionals in patient care. Team-based primary care may support improved medication management for older adults with polypharmacy and multiple points of contact with the healthcare system. However, little is known about this association. This study compares sociodemographic and prescribing trends among older adults in team-based vs. traditional primary care models in Ontario and Quebec. METHODS: We constructed two provincial cohorts using population-level health administrative data from 2006-2018. Our primary exposure was enrollment in a team-based model of care. Key endpoints included adverse drug events (ADEs), potentially inappropriate prescriptions (PIPs), and polypharmacy. We plotted prescribing trends across the observation period (stratified by model of care) in each province. We used standardized mean differences to compare characteristics of older adults and providers, as well as prescribing endpoints. RESULTS: Formal patient/physician enrollment increased in both provinces since the time of policy implementation; team-based enrollment among older adults was higher in Quebec (47%) than Ontario (33%) by the end of our observation period. The distribution of sociodemographic characteristics was reasonably comparable between team-based and non-team-based patients in both provinces, aside from a persistently higher share of rural patients in team-based care. Most PIPs assessed either declined or remained relatively steady over time, regardless of model of care and province. Several PIPs were more common among team-based patients than non-team-based patients, particularly in Quebec. We did not detect notable trends in ADEs or polypharmacy in either province. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings offer encouraging evidence that many PIPs are declining over time in this population, regardless of patients' enrollment in team-based care. Rates of decline appear similar across models of care, suggesting these models may not meaningfully influence prescribing endpoints. Additional efforts are needed to understand the impact of team-based care among older adults and improve primary care prescribing practices.

Assessment of seasonality of rotavirus PCR detection in swine from Ontario and Quebec between 2016-2020 using submissions to a diagnostic laboratory.

The goal of this study was to determine if seasonality of rotavirus A, B, and C infection is present in Ontario and Quebec swine herds by investigating submissions to a diagnostic laboratory. Samples (N = 1557) within 755 case submissions from Canadian swine herds between 2016 and 2020 were tested for rotaviruses A, B, and C using a real-time polymerase-chain reaction assay and described. Data from Ontario and Quebec were additionally analyzed using boxplots, 6-week rolling averages, time-series decomposition, and negative binomial regression models. Percentage positivity of submissions for rotaviruses A, B, and C were discovered to be highest in nursery/weaner (n = 100, 94.0%, 60.0%, 80.0%) and grower/finisher (n = 13, 84.6%, 46.2%, 61.5%) pigs and lowest in gilt/sow (n = 45, 68.9%, 20.0%, 40.0%) and suckling pigs (n = 102, 67.6%, 10.8%, 38.2%), respectively. The most common combination of rotavirus at the sample level was AC (n = 252, 17%) and ABC (n = 175, 23.2%) at the submission level. Percent positivity for rotavirus A, B, and C across all Canadian provinces included in the study were 69.9%, 32.6%, and 53.1%, respectively. Descriptive analysis suggested little to no evidence of seasonal patterns, although a spike in November was seen in the monthly total submissions and monthly total positive submissions. Statistically, the overall month effect could not be identified as statistically significant (P > 0.05) for any of the evaluated submission counts. Overall, there was no evidence supporting seasonality of rotavirus within Ontario and Quebec swine herds between 2016 and 2020.

Le but de cette étude était de déterminer si la saisonnalité de l'infection à rotavirus A, B et C est présente dans les troupeaux de porcs de l'Ontario et du Québec en examinant les soumissions à un laboratoire de diagnostic. Des échantillons (N = 1557) de 755 cas soumis de troupeaux de porcs canadiens entre 2016 et 2020 ont été testés pour les rotavirus A, B et C à l'aide d'un test de réaction d'amplification en chaîne par polymérase en temps réel et décrits. Les données de l'Ontario et du Québec ont également été analysées à l'aide de diagrammes en boîte, de moyennes mobiles sur 6 semaines, d'une décomposition de séries chronologiques et de modèles de régression binomiale négative. On a découvert que le pourcentage de positivité des soumissions pour les rotavirus A, B et C étaient le plus élevé en pouponnière/sevrage (n = 100, 94,0 %, 60,0 %, 80,0 %) et en croissance/engraissement (n = 13, 84,6 %, 46,2 %, 61,5 %) des porcs et le plus bas chez les cochettes/truies (n = 45, 68,9 %, 20,0 %, 40,0 %) et les porcs à la mamelle (n = 102, 67,6 %, 10,8 %, 38,2 %), respectivement. La combinaison la plus courante de rotavirus au niveau de l'échantillon était AC (n = 252, 17 %) et ABC (n = 175, 23,2 %) au niveau de la soumission. Les pourcentages de positivité pour les rotavirus A, B et C dans toutes les provinces canadiennes incluses dans l'étude étaient de 69,9 %, 32,6 % et 53,1 %, respectivement. L'analyse descriptive a suggéré peu ou pas de preuves de tendances saisonnières, bien qu'un pic en novembre ait été observé dans les soumissions totales mensuelles et les soumissions positives totales mensuelles. Statistiquement, l'effet mensuel global n'a pu être identifié comme statistiquement significatif (P > 0,05) pour aucun des nombres de soumissions évalués. Dans l'ensemble, il n'y avait aucune preuve à l'appui de la saisonnalité du rotavirus dans les troupeaux de porcs de l'Ontario et du Québec entre 2016 et 2020.(Traduit par Docteur Serge Messier).

Healthcare resource utilization and costs associated with renal, bone and cardiovascular comorbidities among persons living with HIV compared to the general population in Quebec, Canada.

There is limited understanding on healthcare utilization and costs of age-related comorbidities such as cardiovascular, bone and renal disease/disorder in people living with human immunodeficiency virus, so we compared comorbidity prevalence and associated healthcare utilization and costs. Through the Quebec health insurance database, people living with human immunodeficiency virus on antiretroviral therapy for ≥6 months from January 2006 to June 2012 were categorized by their comorbidity status using International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9 codes, and controls without human immunodeficiency virus diagnosis or antiretroviral therapy use were age and gender matched. We compared healthcare utilization and costs. A total of 3,905 people living with human immunodeficiency virus and 11,715 control individuals were included. The mean age of people living with human immunodeficiency virus was 45.3 years and 77.3% were men. Prevalence of comorbidities was higher and occurred earlier in people living with human immunodeficiency virus and increased with older age regardless of human immunodeficiency virus status. Interestingly, bone comorbidity was high (37%) and 5-fold greater in people living with human immunodeficiency virus <20 years than the controls. Polypharmacy and comorbidity scores were greater in people living with human immunodeficiency virus than controls (p<0.01), as were cardiovascular, bone and renal comorbidities (40.3%, 26.0% and 5.5%, respectively; p<0.01). People living with human immunodeficiency virus had higher healthcare utilization and costs than controls largely due to longer hospital stays and prescriptions. Mean total healthcare cost/person/year for people living with human immunodeficiency virus was CAD$6,248 and was highest for those with renal disease (CAD$19,617). Comorbidities in people living with human immunodeficiency virus are more prevalent, occur earlier and incur a higher burden on the healthcare system; earlier screening and improved preventative and management strategies may reduce the burden to people living with human immunodeficiency virus and to the healthcare system.

Social Workers' Attitudes Toward Medical Assistance in Dying for Persons With Dementia: Findings From a Survey Conducted in Quebec, Canada.

Canada has legalized medical assistance in dying (MAID) for mentally competent persons who satisfy the legal requirements. Debate is ongoing as to whether MAID should be accessible to no-longer-competent persons through an advance request. We conducted an anonymous vignette-based survey among 367 social workers from Quebec to (1) elicit their attitudes toward MAID in the context of dementia; (2) assess their underlying values and beliefs; and (3) compare their attitudes to those of nurses (n = 291) and physicians (n = 136). Acceptability of MAID among social workers ranges from 42% in the case where the person depicted in the vignette was still competent to request MAID herself, to 92% in that where she was incompetent, had requested MAID in writing before losing capacity, showed signs of severe distress, and was close to death. Acceptability tends to be higher among social workers than among nurses and physicians. Forty-one per cent of social workers dread the prospect of participating in the MAID process for a person lacking decisional capacity. Nonetheless, 83% would agree to be involved. Should MAID become accessible to persons lacking decisional capacity, social workers willing to be involved will need to be educated and trained in participating in this emotionally-charged process.

COVID-19 - an opportunity to improve access to primary care through organizational innovations? A qualitative multiple case study in Quebec and Nova Scotia (Canada).

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 catalyzed a rapid and substantial reorganization of primary care, accelerating the spread of existing strategies and fostering a proliferation of innovations. Access to primary care is an essential component of a healthcare system, particularly during a pandemic. We describe organizational innovations aiming to improve access to primary care and related contextual changes during the first 18 months of the COVID-19 pandemic in two Canadian provinces, Quebec and Nova Scotia. METHODS: We conducted a multiple case study based on 63 semi-structured interviews (n = 33 in Quebec, n = 30 in Nova Scotia) conducted between October 2020 and May 2021 and 71 documents from both jurisdictions. We recruited a diverse range of provincial and regional stakeholders (e.g., policy-makers, decision-makers, family physicians, nurses) involved in reorganizing primary care during the COVID-19 pandemic using purposeful sampling (e.g., based on role, region). Interviews were transcribed verbatim and thematic analysis was conducted in NVivo12. Emerging results were discussed by team members to identify salient themes and organized into logic models. RESULTS: We identified and analyzed six organizational innovations. Four of these - centralized public online booking systems, centralized access centers for unattached patients, interim primary care clinics for unattached patients, and a community connector to health and social services for older adults - pre-dated COVID-19 but were accelerated by the pandemic context. The remaining two innovations were created to specifically address pandemic-related needs: COVID-19 hotlines and COVID-dedicated primary healthcare clinics. Innovation spread and proliferation was influenced by several factors, such as a strengthened sense of community amongst providers, decreased patient demand at the beginning of the first wave, renewed policy and provider interest in population-wide access (versus attachment of patients only), suspended performance targets (e.g., continuity ≥80%) in Quebec, modality of care delivery, modified fee codes, and greater regional flexibility to implement tailored innovations. CONCLUSION: COVID-19 accelerated the uptake and creation of organizational innovations to potentially improve access to primary healthcare, removing, at least temporarily, certain longstanding barriers. Many stakeholders believed this reorganization would have positive impacts on access to primary care after the pandemic. Further studies should analyze the effectiveness and sustainability of innovations adapted, developed, and implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Active screening for tuberculosis in high-incidence Inuit communities in Canada: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

BACKGROUND: Active screening for tuberculosis (TB) involves systematic detection of previously undiagnosed TB disease or latent TB infection (LTBI). It may be an important step toward elimination of TB among Inuit in Canada. We aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of community-wide active screening for TB infection and disease in 2 Inuit communities in Nunavik. METHODS: We incorporated screening data from the 2 communities into a decision analysis model. We predicted TB-related health outcomes over a 20-year time frame, beginning in 2019. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of active screening in the presence of varying outbreak frequency and intensity. We also considered scenarios involving variation in timing, impact and uptake of screening programs. RESULTS: Given a single large outbreak in 2019, we estimated that 1 round of active screening reduced TB disease by 13% (95% uncertainty range -3% to 27%) and was cost saving compared with no screening, over 20 years. In the presence of simulated large outbreaks every 3 years thereafter, a single round of active screening was cost saving, as was biennial active screening. Compared with a single round, we also determined that biennial active screening reduced TB disease by 59% (95% uncertainty range 52% to 63%) and was estimated to cost Can$6430 (95% uncertainty range -$29 131 to $13 658 in 2019 Can$) per additional active TB case prevented. With smaller outbreaks or improved rates of treatment initiation and completion for people with LTBI, we determined that biennial active screening remained reasonably cost-effective compared with no active screening. INTERPRETATION: Active screening is a potentially cost-saving approach to reducing disease burden in Inuit communities that have frequent TB outbreaks.

Trauma in northern Quebec, 2005-2014: epidemiologic features, transfers and patient outcomes.

BACKGROUND: The Inuit people residing in Nunavik, Quebec, are vulnerable to major trauma owing to environmental and social factors; however, there is no systematic data collection for trauma in Nunavik, and, apart from data regarding patients who are transferred to tertiary care centres, no data enter the Quebec trauma registry directly from Nunavik. We performed a study to characterize the epidemiologic features of trauma in Nunavik, and describe indications for transfer and outcomes of patients referred to the tertiary trauma centre. METHODS: We collected data retrospectively for all patients with trauma admitted to the Centre de santé Tulattavik de l'Ungava in Kuujjuaq from 2005 to 2014. Sociodemographic, injury and health services data were extracted. The data were analyzed in conjunction with coroners' reports on death from trauma in Nunavik. RESULTS: A total of 797 trauma cases were identified. The most common causes of injury were motor vehicle collisions (258 cases [32.4%]), falls (137 [17.2%]) and blunt assault (95 [11.9%]). One-third of patients (262 [32.9%]) were transferred to the tertiary care centre in Montréal. The incidence rate of major trauma (Injury Severity Score > 12) was 18.1 and 21.7 per 10 000 person-years in the Kuujjuaq region and the Puvirnituq region, respectively, which translates to a relative risk (RR) of 4 compared to the Quebec population. The disparity observed in trauma mortality rate was even greater, with an RR of 47.6 compared to the Quebec population. CONCLUSION: The study showed major disparity in trauma incidence and mortality rate between Nunavik and the province of Quebec. Our findings allow for a better understanding of the burden of injury and regional trauma mortality in Nunavik, and recommendations for optimization of the trauma system in this unique setting.

Economic Analysis of the Prevention and Control of Nosocomial Infections: Research Protocol.

Background: Nosocomial infections (NIs) are among the main preventable healthcare adverse events. Like all countries, Canada and its provinces are affected by NIs. In 2004, Ministry of Health and Social Services (MSSS) of Quebec instituted a mandatory surveillance NI program for the prevention and control (NIPC) in the hospitals of the province. One target of the MSSS 2015-2020 action plan is to assess the implementation, costs, effects, and return on investment of NIPC measures. This project goes in the same way and is one of the first major studies in Canada to evaluate the efficiency of the NIPC measures. Three objectives will be pursued: evaluate the cost of implementing clinical best practices (CBPs) for infection control; evaluate the economic burden attributable to NIs; and examine the cost-effectiveness of the NIPC by comparing the costs of CBPs against those of NIs. Methods: This project is based on an infection control intervention framework that includes four CBPs: hand hygiene; hygiene and sanitation; screening; and additional precautions. Four medical and surgical units in two hospitals (nonUniversity, University) in the province of Quebec will be studied. The project has four components. Component 1 will construct and content validate an observation grid for measuring the costs of CBPs. Component 2 will estimate CBP costs via 2-week prospective observations of health workers, conducted every 2 months over a 1-year period. Component 3 will evaluate, through a matched case-control study, the economic burden of the four most monitored NIs in Quebec (C-difficile, MRSA, VRE, and CPGNB). Archival patient data will be collected retrospectively. Component 4 will determine the optimal breakeven point for CBPs associated with NIPC. Discussion: This project will produce evidence of the economic analysis of NIPC and give health stakeholders an overview of NIPC cost-effectiveness. It will meet the objectives of the Canadian Patient Safety Institute and the MSSS action plan to analyze the efficiency of NIPC preventive measures. To our knowledge, this is the first such exercise in Quebec and Canada. It will provide governments with a decision support tool through a major empirical study that could be replicated nationally to capture the financial benefits of NIPC.

Validation of breast cancer risk assessment tools on a French-Canadian population-based cohort.

OBJECTIVES: Evaluate the accuracy of the Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Tool (BCRAT), International Breast Cancer Intervention Study risk evaluation tool (IBIS), Polygenic Risk Scores (PRS) and combined scores (BCRAT+PRS and IBIS +PRS) to predict the occurrence of invasive breast cancers at 5 years in a French-Canadian population. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study. SETTING: We used the population-based cohort CARTaGENE, composed of 43 037 Quebec residents aged between 40 and 69 years and broadly representative of the population recorded on the Quebec administrative health insurance registries. PARTICIPANTS: 10 200 women recruited in 2009-2010 were included for validating BCRAT and IBIS and 4555 with genetic information for validating the PRS and combined scores. OUTCOME MEASURES: We computed the absolute risks of breast cancer at 5 years using BCRAT, IBIS, four published PRS and combined models. We reported the overall calibration performance, goodness-of-fit test and discriminatory accuracy. RESULTS: 131 (1.28%) women developed a breast cancer at 5 years for validating BCRAT and IBIS and 58 (1.27%) for validating PRS and combined scores. Median follow-up was 5 years. BCRAT and IBIS had an overall expected-to-observed ratio of 1.01 (0.85-1.19) and 1.02 (0.86-1.21) but with significant differences when partitioning by risk groups (p<0.05). IBIS' c-index was significantly higher than BCRAT (63.42 (59.35-67.49) vs 58.63 (54.05-63.21), p=0.013). PRS scores had a global calibration around 0.82, with a CI including one, and non-significant goodness-of-fit tests. PRS' c-indexes were non-significantly higher than BCRAT and IBIS, the highest being 64.43 (58.23-70.63). Combined models did not improve the results. CONCLUSIONS: In this French-Canadian population-based cohort, BCRAT and IBIS have good mean calibration that could be improved for risk subgroups, and modest discriminatory accuracy. Despite this modest discriminatory power, these tools can be of interest for primary care physicians for delivering a personalised message to their high-risk patients, regarding screening and lifestyle counselling.

Does socio-economic status influence the effect of multimorbidity on the frequent use of ambulatory care services in a universal healthcare system? A population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Frequent healthcare users place a significant burden on health systems. Factors such as multimorbidity and low socioeconomic status have been associated with high use of ambulatory care services (emergency rooms, general practitioners and specialist physicians). However, the combined effect of these two factors remains poorly understood. Our goal was to determine whether the risk of being a frequent user of ambulatory care is influenced by an interaction between multimorbidity and socioeconomic status, in an entire population covered by a universal health system. METHODS: Using a linkage of administrative databases, we conducted a population-based cohort study of all adults in Quebec, Canada. Multimorbidity (defined as the number of different diseases) was assessed over a two-year period from April 1st 2012 to March 31st 2014 and socioeconomic status was estimated using a validated material deprivation index. Frequents users for a particular category of ambulatory services had a number of visits among the highest 5% in the total population during the 2014-15 fiscal year. We used ajusted logistic regressions to model the association between frequent use of health services and multimorbidity, depending on socioeconomic status. RESULTS: Frequent users (5.1% of the population) were responsible for 25.2% of all ambulatory care visits. The lower the socioeconomic status, the higher the burden of chronic diseases, and the more frequent the visits to emergency departments and general practitioners. Socioeconomic status modified the association between multimorbidity and frequent visits to specialist physicians: those with low socioeconomic status visited specialist physicians less often. The difference in adjusted proportions of frequent use between the most deprived and the least deprived individuals varied from 0.1% for those without any chronic disease to 5.1% for those with four or more chronic diseases. No such differences in proportions were observed for frequent visits to an emergency room or frequent visits to a general practitioner. CONCLUSION: Even in a universal healthcare system, the gap between socioeconomic groups widens as a function of multimorbidity with regard to visits to the specialist physicians. Further studies are needed to better understand the differential use of specialized care by the most deprived individuals.

CONECT-6: a case-finding tool to identify patients with complex health needs.

BACKGROUND: Early identification of patients with chronic conditions and complex health needs in emergency departments (ED) would enable the provision of services better suited to their needs, such as case management. A case-finding tool would ultimately support ED teams to this end and could reduce the cost of services due to avoidable ED visits and hospitalizations. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a short self-administered case-finding tool in EDs to identify patients with chronic conditions and complex health needs in an adult population. METHODS: This prospective development and initial validation study of a case-finding tool was conducted in four EDs in the province of Quebec (Canada). Adult patients with chronic conditions were approached at their third or more visit to the ED within 12 months to complete a self-administered questionnaire, which included socio-demographics, a comorbidity index, the reference standard INTERMED self-assessment, and 12 questions to develop the case-finding tool. Significant variables in bivariate analysis were included in a multivariate logistic regression analysis and a backward elimination procedure was applied. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was developed to identify the most appropriate threshold score to identify patients with complex health needs. RESULTS: Two hundred ninety patients participated in the study. The multivariate analysis yielded a six-question tool, COmplex NEeds Case-finding Tool - 6 (CONECT-6), which evaluates the following variables: low perceived health; limitations due to pain; unmet needs; high self-perceived complexity; low income; and poor social support. With a threshold of two or more positive answers, the sensitivity was 90% and specificity 66%. The positive and negative predictive values were 49 and 75% respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The case-finding process is the essential characteristic of case management effectiveness. This study presents the first case-finding tool to identify adult patients with chronic conditions and complex health needs in ED.

Impact of parental socioeconomic status on offspring's mental health: protocol for a longitudinal community-based study.

INTRODUCTION: Socioeconomic status (SES) affects physical and mental health and cognitive functioning. The association between SES changes (SES mobility) and health has ethical and political implications in that the pernicious effects of inequality and the differential impact on social classes of economic and social policies. There is a lack of research conducted to explore the intergenerational transmission of parental SES changes on the offspring's mental health and cognitive functioning. We aim to fill this gap and identify roles of parental SES changes in offspring's mental health and cognitive outcomes. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This study will be based on a longitudinal cohort from the most populous municipality in the Canadian province of Quebec. Participants and their biological offspring will be invited to this study. For those with informed consent, we will collect their information on mental health, psychiatric disorders, cognitive functioning and early life experiences for offspring. Latent class growth analysis will be used to identify parental SES mobility groups. Multivariate regression analyses will be used to explore the roles of early life stress, parental SES mobility and their interactions in psychiatric disorders and cognitive functioning. Subgroup analyses (males and females) are also planned. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study has been given ethical approval by the Research Ethics Board of the Douglas Mental Health University Institute (IUSMD-18/17). Each participant will provide informed consent on participation. We will disseminate research findings through publication in peer-reviewed academic journals and presentations at conferences. Lay summaries of major research findings will also be shared annually with our partners in the health system and community agencies located in the catchment area.